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Banking on failure
 

Despite such advances, it is the changing fortunes of the drug industry that are pushing biology and computing together. According to the Boston Consulting Group, the average drug now costs $880m to develop and takes almost 15 years to reach the market. With the pipelines of new drugs under development running dry, and patents of many blockbuster drugs expiring, the best hope that drug firms have is to improve the way they discover and develop new products.

Paradoxically, the biggest gains are to be made from failures. Three-quarters of the cost of developing a successful drug goes to paying for all the failed hypotheses and blind alleys pursued along the way. If drug makers can kill an unpromising approach sooner, they can significantly improve their returns. Simple mathematics shows that reducing the number of failures by 5% cuts the cost of discovery by nearly a fifth. By enabling researchers to find out sooner that their hoped-for compound is not working out, bioinformatics can steer them towards more promising candidates. Boston Consulting believes bioinformatics can cut $150m from the cost of developing a new drug and a year off the time taken to bring it to market.

That has made drug companies sit up. Throughout the 1990s, they tended to use bioinformatics to create and cull genetic data. More recently, they have started using it to make sense of it all. Researchers now find themselves swamped with data. Each time it does an experimental run, the average microarray spits out some 50 megabytes of data—all of which has to be stored, managed and made available to researchers. Today, firms such as Millennium Pharmaceuticals of Cambridge, Massachusetts, screen hundreds of thousands of compounds each week, producing terabytes of data annually.

The data themselves pose a number of tricky problems. For one thing, most bioinformatics files are “flat”, meaning they are largely text-based and intended for browsing by eye. Meanwhile, sets of data from different bioinformatics sources are often in different formats, making it harder to integrate and mine them than in other industries, such as engineering or finance, where formal standards for exchanging data exist.

More troubling still, a growing proportion of the data is proving inaccurate or even false. A drug firm culls genomic and chemical data from countless sources, both inside and outside the company. It may have significant control over the data produced in its own laboratories, but little over data garnered from university research and other sources. Like any other piece of experimental equipment, the microarrays themselves have varying degrees of accuracy built into them. “What people are finding is that the tools are getting better but the data itself is no good,” says Peter Loupos of Aventis, a French drug firm based in Strasbourg.

To help solve this problem, drug firms, computer makers and research organisations have organised a standards body called the Interoperable Informatics Infrastructure Consortium. Their Life Science Identifier, released in mid-2002, defines a simple convention for identifying and accessing biological data stored in multiple formats. Meanwhile, the Distributed Annotation System, a standard for describing genome annotation across sources, is gaining popularity. This is making it easier to compare different groups' genome data.

 

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